Middle Eastern and African market data, analysis and forecasts from Business Monitor International, the trusted source for business information and intelligence on global emerging markets.
Middle East & Africa Monitor provides political risk analysis, economic forecasts and business information for trade & industry across the Middle Eastern and African economies of the East Med, The Gulf, North Africa, Southern Africa, East & Central Africa and West Africa. Middle East & Africa Monitor is available as six printed, regional, monthly newsletters. Subscribers also receive password access to a searchable 24-month archive of Middle East & Africa Monitor articles and data online plus the ability to download PDFs of current and back issues of Middle East & Africa Monitor.
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Economy / Congo, Dem. Rep.
We continue to forecast an external debt burden of US$10.4bn (119% of GDP) and US$10.5bn (105% of GDP) in 2009 and 2010, respectively. The IMF currently conducts a feasibility study to determine whether a mining deal with China will jeopardise the DRC's debt forgiveness eligibility. Only confirmation by the IMF that it will continue the HIPC programme with the DRC will lead to...
2009-07-01Economy / Kenya
BMI View: We are forecasting a widening of Kenya's budget deficit to KES229.7bn (6.4% of GDP) in 2009/10, from KES160.2bn (5.2% of GDP) in 2008/09, owing to various tax breaks and...
2009-07-01Economy / Kenya
The Kenyan government plans to assess the prospects for a Eurobond over the coming months. Although the 2009/10 budget does not explicitly include plans for a sovereign bond, the...
2009-07-01Economy / Lebanon
President Michel Suleiman has designated Saad al-Hariri as Lebanon's next prime minister. As the son of former prime minister Rafik al-Hariri, who was assassinated in a Beirut car bombing in 2005, his appointment carries deep symbolism. Hariri's pro-Western March 14 alliance beat out the Hizbullah-led opposition in June's parliamentary elections. Although Hariri has pledged to...
2009-06-30Economy / Egypt
Mufid Shehab, Egypt's Minister of Legal and Parliamentary Affairs, has stated the country's parliament approved a law on June 14 that will provide a quota of 64 seats in the lower...
2009-06-30Economy / Kuwait
Having contracted for three months (February to April), total credit facilities provided by commercial banks increased (by 1.4% m-o-m) in May, which is perhaps an early indicator...
2009-06-30Economy / Algeria
In response to the recent intensification of terrorist activity in Algeria and the wider Saharan region, the Africa Centre for Studies and Research on Terrorism (CAERT) recently held a three-day conference in Algiers to prepare an anti-terrorism action plan for 2010-2013. The conference, which was attended by anti-terrorism officials from the UN and the European Union, preceded...
2009-06-29Economy / Algeria
We are maintaining our exchange rate forecasts for Algeria, which anticipate a year-end rate of DZD71.00/US$. The dinar was trading at DZD72.52/US$ at the time of writing, and has...
2009-06-29Economy / Libya
June saw Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi make a historic trip to Italy, Libya's former colonial ruler, for the first time since Qadhafi seized power in 1969. The three day trip was...
2009-06-29Economy / South Africa
In the State of the Nation address at the beginning of June, President Jacob Zuma announced that employment creation will be a top priority for the African National Congress over the coming years. The government will try to create 500,000 additional workplaces by the end of 2009 and a total of 4mn job opportunities by 2014. Given the sharp downturn in domestic economic growth...
2009-07-01Economy / Zambia
Copper exports by volume in 2009 are set to exceed 2008's results, despite disruption surrounding mine abandonment and ownership transfers. Nevertheless, although copper prices have...
2009-06-29Economy / Zambia
Former Communications and Transport minister William Harrington has filed a notice of appeal against the Lusaka High Court's decision to clear Education Minister Dora Siliya of any...
2009-06-29Economy / Qatar
In April, Qatar's M2 money supply fell by 5.7% y-o-y, backing up our view that consumer prices will remain subdued for several months to come. The official methodology for measuring monetary aggregates was recently changed - the current series only goes back to the start of 2007. However, the 'old' data series shows that M2 had not exhibited negative annual growth since the beginning...
2009-07-01Political Risk / Iraq
The next six months will be a pivotal time period for Iraq. To say this may well be clichéd - when has Iraq not faced pivotal moments over the past six years? However, following...
2009-06-29Economy / United Arab Emirates
According to a recent survey by the Emirates National Development Programme (ENDP), more than half of UAE nationals that leave their jobs in the private sector do so because of a...
2009-06-26Economy / Gabon
President Omar Bongo, who ruled Gabon continuously for 41 years, died of a heart attack on June 8 at a clinic in Barcelona. The president had taken a temporary leave of office on May 7 2009 to mourn the death of his wife, and then flown to Europe, where it was rumoured he was seeking medical attention. His death was initially reported on June 7, but this report was denied by the...
2009-07-01Political Risk / Gabon
We believe the ruling Gabonese Democratic Party (PDG) is likely to win the next presidential elections, with internal party rivalries presenting the greatest risk to that view. While...
2009-07-01Economy / Ghana
The level of public sector pay remains a problem in Ghana. In mid-June, the Ghana Trades Union Congress issued an ultimatum to the government to do something about salaries for public...
2009-06-30



