Political Transition To Set Growth Trajectory

Tunisia's growth trajectory will be determined by the smoothness and success of its political transition, and we note that there is still considerable uncertainty surrounding the country's efforts to establish a democratic state. Elections are planned for July 24, when citizens will vote for an assembly of 200 temporary members who will write a constitution, and parliamentary elections will be held once the process is complete. We note that there are still many potential obstacles to restoring stability and jumpstarting the economy, even after a parliament is elected, and below we have outlined several potential scenarios that take into account possible outcomes to the political situation.

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