Sudan

The possibility of a return to full-scale conflict with South Sudan risks stretching the Sudanese military to breaking point. The government is already dealing with armed insurgencies in the western Darfur region and in South Kordofan and Blue Nile, two states in the border region with South Sudan. Khartoum has also faced increasing opposition from other areas of the country as discontent over falling living standards rises. While renewed conflict may well galvanise support around the al-Bashir regime and against the South, there is also a risk that hardship brought about by the conflict will lead to a protests which

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