Egypt

In June, concerns about the president's health highlighted the ongoing uncertainty about political succession. Although President Hosni Mubarak has not named any potential replacement, there are widespread perceptions that his son, Gamal, is being groomed for the role. However, there is also strong popular resistance to the hereditary transfer of power, expressed in protests last summer. When Mubarak leaves office, there may be considerable instability; some will see it as an opportunity for democratisation, while others will wish to preserve one-party rule. In one possible scenario, Gamal Mubarak and other members of the ruling party's 'young guard' may be able

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