Israel

March 2007 | Risk Summary

Latest opinion polls conducted by Angus Reid and Yediot Ahronot show little real change in the trends we have been monitoring for some months: Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's Likud party remains unpopular, and is projected to take just 11 seats in the next election, as opposed to the 29 it holds now. Rightist Likud, on the other hand, would take 27 seats, according to the poll. The publication of the Lindenstrauss inquiry into the Lebanon war is likely to exacerbate Olmert's problems: reports suggest it will lay the blame for what is perceived as a flawed military strategy, at least

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