Lebanon

March 2007 | Risk Summary

Lebanon is edging closer to civil conflict, with reports that Sunni militants have been entering the country from Iraq, as well as the allegation that the February bus bombings were perpetrated by a previously unheard of Palestinian-Syrian militant group, Fatah al-Islam. The presence of foreign militants complicates and exacerbates Lebanon's problems, and increases the risk of a descent into civil war, but without a strong government, there is little it can do to do stop them. Longer term, we believe that a rewriting of the electoral system will have to take place, but the prospect of this alone could

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