East & Central Africa
The East & Central Africa Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Congo, the DRC, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda.
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Sudan / Economy
The ruling party in semi-autonomous South Sudan, Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), has agreed to compromise on its insistence on having a southerner in the role of secretary general of the Referendum Commission. A senior SPLM official stated that holding the referendum on time was of greater importance than blocking a northern candidate (which would almost certainly delay...
2010-08-25Tanzania / Economy
Voters on semi-autonomous Zanzibar endorsed a proposal to amend the archipelago's constitution which will allow rival parties to form a coalition government. The outcome bodes well...
2010-08-25Kenya / Economy
We are forecasting Kenya's current account deficit to reach 7.0% of GDP in 2010 - its highest level in the last ten years - and then begin to decline gradually, reaching 2.0% of GDP...
2010-08-24Country Risk Rating
Sudan
The ruling party in semi-autonomous South Sudan, Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), has agreed to compromise on its insistence on having a southerner in the role of secretary...
2010-08-25Tanzania
Voters on semi-autonomous Zanzibar endorsed a proposal to amend the archipelago's constitution which will allow rival parties to form a coalition government. The outcome bodes well...
2010-08-25Kenya
The Central Bank of Kenya cut interest rates by 75 basis points to 6.0% in an attempt to persuade private banks to reduce their lending rates, which stood at 14.6% in June 2010. Although...
2010-08-24Uganda
Uganda's opposition parties are showing tentative signs of unity ahead of 2011 elections, having selected four candidates to vie for the head of their coalition. The chosen candidate...
2010-08-24Kenya
We are forecasting Kenya's current account deficit to reach 7.0% of GDP in 2010 - its highest level in the last ten years - and then begin to decline gradually, reaching 2.0% of GDP...
2010-08-24Uganda
Following the release of data showing the economy grew by 5.8% y-o-y in FY2009/10, we have adjusted our calendar year 2010 and 2011 forecasts to 7.0% and 7.3% respectively. These projections...
2010-08-24Congo, Dem. Rep.
According to data from the Banque Centrale du Congo (BCC) inflation had fallen to 17.6% y-o-y by the third week of August down from a peak of over 50.0% in November 2009. In response...
2010-08-24Kenya
The Kenyan shilling has depreciated significantly against the US dollar in recent months. As trade with east Africa has picked up in 2010, Kenya's import bill, which is largely funded...
2010-07-22Sudan
The governments of Sudan and semi-autonomous South Sudan continue to stumble unconvincingly towards a contentious referendum planned for January 2011, with the fallout from recent national...
2010-07-13Libya
While a dramatic improvement in bilateral relations with Chad supports the security of Sudan's government, Khartoum will need to carefully avoid a concomitant deterioration in relations...
2010-07-13Djibouti
BMI View: Japan's plans to establish a military base in Djibouti demonstrate that it is increasingly willing to defend its interests abroad. However, Japan's colossal fiscal and debt...
2010-05-26Congo, Dem. Rep.
BMI undertook a research trip to DRC in May 2010; we found that although a number of initiatives aimed at bringing greater scrutiny and regulation to the opaque mineral trade are now...
2010-05-25
