Middle East & Africa Monitor provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for each country across the region. The service includes online access to the very latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive of articles and data, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.
Published by Business Monitor International, the emerging market specialists, Middle East & Africa Monitor is broken down into six regional services: East & Central Africa, East Med, the Gulf, North Africa, Southern Africa and West Africa.
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Economy / Congo, Dem. Rep.
June experienced renewed armed clashes between Congolese government forces and fighters belonging to the Mai-Mai militia group. According to UN sources, the confrontations took place in the Tshopo province on June 22, reportedly claiming the lives of 29 militants and four government soldiers. As highlighted in our main article, security will remain a particular concern in the...
2008-07-02Economy / Kenya
BMI View: We are fairly upbeat on Kenya's growth prospects over 2008-2017, forecasting annual real GDP growth of 4.6% by 2012 and 3.6% by 2017. Key supporting factors will be its...
2008-07-02Economy / Congo, Dem. Rep.
On the back of ongoing increases in commodity prices (in particular metals) and FDI inflows, we have increased our real GDP growth forecasts for 2008 and 2009 to 9.9% and 12.3% respectively...
2008-07-01Political Risk / Syria
While Syria is moving along a path of rapprochement with the West, key obstacles remain.
2008-07-15Political Risk / Egypt
BMI View: The government will remain in power, but will likely use a carrot and stick policy to keep the population on side in these difficult times.
2008-07-11Political Risk / Egypt
BMI View: Egypt will likely continue to seek to avoid opening the Rafah border crossing for any prolonged period of time, particularly as long as Hamas remains in power. However,...
2008-07-11Economy / Morocco
Measures to improve energy security are a positive long-term development for a country that is currently completely reliant on oil imports. However, they will have little impact on this year's budget deficit.
2008-07-17Political Risk / Algeria
The return of Ahmed Ouyahia to the post of prime minister suggests an attempt by President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to neutralise any potential opponents before next year's presidential...
2008-06-25Economy / Libya
A deal with Ukraine should secure Libya's future wheat supplies, reducing its exposure to global food shortages. In return, Ukraine will regain access to oil concessions.
2008-06-25Economy / Namibia
The Namibian press regularly carries stories of the actions of the Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) in arresting suspected perpetrators and investing cases of corruption. While recognising that corruption remains a problem in the country, rather than seeing the frequency of such reports as a concern, we find the proactive approach and visible activities of the ACC encouraging....
2008-07-16Economy / Malawi
The Mozambique-Malawi Joint Defence and Security Commission has met in Lilongwe to discuss ways of exercising effective control over the two countries' shared border. Not only is...
2008-06-26Economy / Namibia
President Hifikepunye Pohamba is coming under increased domestic pressure to sever diplomatic links with Zimbabwe. With ties between the two countries historically close, Pohamba...
2008-06-26Political Risk / Bahrain
Sectarian tensions show no sign of easing in Bahrain. Government actions are doing little to improve the situation, although the biggest risk to political stability stems from a regional conflict involving Shi'a Iran.
2008-07-18Economy / Iran
BMI View: International sanctions are continuing to overshadow the Iranian economy, and while we expect economic growth to hold up above 3.5% over the forecast period, there are now...
2008-07-09Economy / Iran
BMI View: We are forecasting annual real GDP growth of 4.1% by 2012, and 3.3% by 2017, on the back of slowing oil production growth, a long-term easing in oil prices and economic...
2008-07-08Political Risk / Sierra Leone
Nine foreign nationals, including four Colombians, two Mexicans and an American, have been arrested after Sierra Leone's largest ever seizure of cocaine. Around 700kg of cocaine were seized, worth an estimated US$54mn, along with five automatic rifles and ammunition. Wary of how seized drugs went missing from government stores in Guinea-Bissau, this haul has been deposited with...
2008-07-17Economy / Sierra Leone
A year after the general and presidential elections that elected Ernest Bai Koroma and the then opposition All Party Congress (APC), Sierra Leone is set to have held nationwide local...
2008-06-30Political Risk / Nigeria
At a time when fresh attacks from militias in the Niger Delta have reasserted the rebels' ability to severely impact oil production, the government's policy for bringing peace to...
2008-06-30
