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Political Risk / Iran

Tehran Hopes New Base Will Deter Attack

October 2008 | Political Risk Alert

The opening of new Iranian naval facilities at Jask to the east of the Strait of Hormuz will ensure that regional tensions remain elevated for the foreseeable future as rumours of a military strike by the US and/or Israel on the Islamic Republic's nuclear facilities refuse to entirely die down. While our core scenario is for the nuclear stand-off (the US believes Iran is developing nuclear weapons, a charge Tehran denies) to be resolved diplomatically, a military solution is certainly still on the table. Iran's force escalation is likely an attempt to ward off a potential strike and will serve

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