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Political Risk / Lebanon

Key Challenges For 2009

December 2008 | Political Risk Analysis

BMI View: Even if the Hariri tribunal goes ahead on schedule, we do not expect it to yield any particularly significant results. We continue to expect the pro-Syrian opposition to strengthen its position in 2009 parliamentary elections. However, a more compliant Syria poses long-term risks to the survival of Hizbullah's military wing at least.

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