Analysis, data & forecasts on every country across the region

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The Gulf Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the Yemen.  This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.

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Latest Stories

Saudi Arabia / Economy

We welcome the recent news that Saudi Arabia and Qatar have agreed to fix their maritime borders, and also set up a high level council intended to address security, trade and political issues, in a move that should provide a further boost for regional stability. Relations between the two have been strained since the Saudis recalled their ambassador from Doha in 2002 over television... 2008-07-22


Saudi Arabia / Economy

We expect real GDP growth to push higher in 2008 and 2009, to come in around 4.0% and 4.3% respectively, on the back of non-oil sector expansion, increasing oil production and a jump... 2008-07-22


Iran / Economy

The US recently sent Under Secretary of State William Burns to talks in Geneva between Iran and major world powers in order to receive Iran's response to a recent offer of economic... 2008-07-22


Country Risk Rating

Saudi Arabia

We welcome the recent news that Saudi Arabia and Qatar have agreed to fix their maritime borders, and also set up a high level council intended to address security, trade and political... 2008-07-22


Iran

The US recently sent Under Secretary of State William Burns to talks in Geneva between Iran and major world powers in order to receive Iran's response to a recent offer of economic... 2008-07-22


United Arab Emirates

Comments by Dubai's real estate regulator have thrown the link between property ownership and residency into doubt. Foreigners have been allowed to buy property in Dubai since 2002... 2008-06-27


Iran

Iranian police have launched a more extensive crackdown on 'social corruption' according to the Farhang-e Ashti newspaper, confronting individuals who appear in public dressed in... 2008-06-20

Economy

Saudi Arabia

We expect real GDP growth to push higher in 2008 and 2009, to come in around 4.0% and 4.3% respectively, on the back of non-oil sector expansion, increasing oil production and a jump... 2008-07-22


Iran

We are forecasting real GDP growth of 5.0% and 4.6% for 2008 and 2009 respectively, as high oil prices will ensure adequate fiscal revenues and oil export earnings.

2008-07-22

Iran

BMI View: International sanctions are continuing to overshadow the Iranian economy, and while we expect economic growth to hold up above 3.5% over the forecast period, there are now... 2008-07-09


Iran

BMI View: We are forecasting annual real GDP growth of 4.1% by 2012, and 3.3% by 2017, on the back of slowing oil production growth, a long-term easing in oil prices and economic... 2008-07-08

Political Risk

Bahrain

Sectarian tensions show no sign of easing in Bahrain. Government actions are doing little to improve the situation, although the biggest risk to political stability stems from a regional... 2008-07-18


Iran

BMI View: With the Iranian government recently stepping up its efforts to control media freedoms, we expect the press to remain tightly controlled over the coming years, especially... 2008-07-02


Yemen

BMI view: An increasingly bold Jihadist campaign and a growing threat posed by northern Shi'a rebels is asking questions of President Ali Abdullah Saleh's government. Worsening economic... 2008-06-12


Oman

Oman will boost ties with Iran, with whom it shares strategic regional interests. This may cause some concern in the US, with whom Muscat has a free trade agreement.

2008-06-11