The Gulf
The Gulf Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the Yemen.
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Kuwait / Economy
We expect public expenditure in Kuwait to increase in 2012. Although government spending plans in recent years have been persistently hampered by political gridlock in parliament, we expect growing public agitation - as illustrated by the wave of protest that hit the country in late 2011 - to translate into renewed impetus for a pickup in expenditure over the coming quarters. We...
2012-01-31Oman / Economy
Rumours that outgoing Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh would go into exile in Oman following his departure from Sana'a have proved to be unfounded. Diplomats in Muscat had claimed...
2012-01-31Kuwait / Economy
Riot police in the city of Jahra used tear gas to disperse hundreds of protestors on January 14, according to witnesses cited by the Associated Foreign Press . The demonstrators were...
2012-01-31Country Risk Rating
Oman
Rumours that outgoing Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh would go into exile in Oman following his departure from Sana'a have proved to be unfounded. Diplomats in Muscat had claimed...
2012-01-31Kuwait
Riot police in the city of Jahra used tear gas to disperse hundreds of protestors on January 14, according to witnesses cited by the Associated Foreign Press . The demonstrators were...
2012-01-31Iran
Iran is ready to revive talks with the U.S. and other world powers on its nuclear programme, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on January 26. Talks broke off over a year ago....
2012-01-30Saudi Arabia
Saudi police arrested nine people in the eastern governorate of Qatif on January 24, according to government officials. The region is a centre of the country's Shi'a Muslim minority....
2012-01-30Kuwait
We expect public expenditure in Kuwait to increase in 2012. Although government spending plans in recent years have been persistently hampered by political gridlock in parliament, we...
2012-01-31Saudi Arabia
We expect Saudi Arabia's external position to remain healthy for the foreseeable future. While moderating oil prices will shrink the trade surplus in 2012, we nevertheless forecast...
2012-01-30Iran
We forecast headline inflation to come in at 26.3% y-o-y in 2011/12, (Iran's fiscal year ends on March 20). According to official figures, inflation currently stands at 20.6% y-o-y....
2012-01-30United Arab Emirates
We are projecting a slight narrowing in the UAE's current account surplus in 2012 (to 7.6% of GDP from an estimated 8.7% in 2011), as hydrocarbon receipts fall and re-exports to Iran...
2012-01-27Iran
Iran's upcoming March 2012 parliamentary elections will amplify disaffection among wide swathes of the population and increase political in-fighting among the conservative establishment....
2011-09-23Libya
BMI View: Qatar has growing ambitions to become a regional power in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), backed by its massive hydrocarbons wealth. While the country may well...
2011-08-25Bahrain
The decision by Bahrain's main Shi'a opposition group al-Wefaq in early August to boycott parliamentary elections (which are likely to take place later this year) is further indication...
2011-08-17Iraq
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's call to reduce the size of the cabinet will weaken the stability of the coalition, in our view. In response to public protests over the inadequate...
2011-06-27
