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The Gulf Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the Yemen.

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Latest Stories

Kuwait / Economy

The Kuwaiti government is seeking to improve and strengthen its relations with Iran in order to secure regional peace in the Gulf. Kuwait's immediate dialogue with Iran has focused on safety assurances over the state of the regime's nuclear reactor, chiefly owing to the proximity between the two countries. Meanwhile the Kuwaiti government has also agreed to share its border oilfields... 2010-08-26


Iraq / Economy

As the US army is gradually exiting Iraq, with the latest figures at the time of writing leaving around 50,000 troops in the country, we believe that there is an elevated risk that... 2010-08-26


Iran / Economy

Russia and China are defending their ties with Iran as both face rising pressure from the US to impose further economic sanctions. One of Iran's nuclear power plants is on schedule... 2010-08-24


Country Risk Rating

Kuwait

The Kuwaiti government is seeking to improve and strengthen its relations with Iran in order to secure regional peace in the Gulf. Kuwait's immediate dialogue with Iran has focused... 2010-08-26


Iraq

As the US army is gradually exiting Iraq, with the latest figures at the time of writing leaving around 50,000 troops in the country, we believe that there is an elevated risk that... 2010-08-26


Iran

Russia and China are defending their ties with Iran as both face rising pressure from the US to impose further economic sanctions. One of Iran's nuclear power plants is on schedule... 2010-08-24


United Arab Emirates

Power shortages in Sharjah illustrate the demographic challenges faced by the UAE government in the face of rapid population growth and limited resources. One worker died, cases of... 2010-07-26

Economy

Kuwait

As we move towards the end of the year, the recovery is not particularly in evidence, in line with our view that the return to positive growth would be unspectacular. Banks in Kuwait... 2010-08-16


Kuwait

BMI View: The economy will pick up in real terms in 2010, and then accelerate in 2011. However, even within this framework, the rate of job creation will be low, keeping consumer confidence... 2010-08-16


Kuwait

BMI View: The technical picture suggests that the Kuwaiti dinar could appreciate against the US dollar, but we see no fundamental reason for such a policy shift, and have not adjusted... 2010-08-12


Iraq

As we move towards the end of the year, Iraq looks no closer to forming a government, which is set to affect its economic progress, as investors become increasingly nervous in the run-up... 2010-08-10

Political Risk

Iran

BMI View: Domestic stability remains broadly in place, in spite of the ongoing economic difficulties. For now, the most significant threats emanate from abroad (namely Iran). The coming... 2010-08-16


Iraq

BMI View: Iraq's political leaders will struggle to form a coalition government in a timely manner, heightening the political risk profile.

2010-08-09

Iraq

BMI View: The US has not, under President Barack Obama, prioritised Iraq in terms of its regional policy. This could undermine its efforts to play a more constructive role in orchestrating... 2010-08-09


Saudi Arabia

BMI View: The Saudi royal family depends on steady oil revenues and Western support to maintain its tight grip on the population. The loss of either one of these could lead to substantial... 2010-08-04