Iran
Economy
The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) recently released its latest consumer price index (CPI) statistics, which show that inflation has not yet turned the corner, although we expect that...
2008-11-27Economy
We expect real GDP growth to fall to 4.9% in Iranian year 2008/09 (ending in March 2009), dropping once more to 4.6% the following year. Although the Iranian banking system is largely...
2008-11-21Political Risk
According to the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry, in Q308, the value of exports and re-exports to Iran fell by 15.4% q-o-q. While oil prices have fallen sharply since they...
2008-11-18Economy
The news that 60 economists published an open letter on Saturday (November 8) which condemned President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's confrontational attitude with the rest of the world,...
2008-11-10Political Risk
The banning of the popular weekly magazine Shahrvand Emrouz by the Iranian press watchdog, according to a report from AFP on November 6, may suppress disparagement of President Mahmoud...
2008-11-06Economy
With oil prices approaching US$50/bbl the balance of payments and fiscal outlook for Iran looks increasingly ominous. We forecast that the OPEC Basket price over the next Iranian...
2008-11-03Political Risk
The opening of new Iranian naval facilities at Jask to the east of the Strait of Hormuz will ensure that regional tensions remain elevated for the foreseeable future as rumours of...
2008-10-28Political Risk
Although the reports that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has fallen ill due to 'exhaustion' have fuelled speculation over whether he will stand in next June's presidential elections,...
2008-10-27Economy
The government's decision to hold off for two months the introduction of a 3% value-added tax brought to an end a week of strikes in Tehran's main bazaar on October 13. The extent...
2008-10-23Economy
Inflation increased to 29.4% y-o-y in September, up from 27.6% the previous month. While we expect it fall to 22.0% y-o-y by the end of the Iranian year (in March 2009), President...
2008-10-23




