Political Risk

The recent war of words between Turkey and France over the latter's passing of a law rendering denial of the Armenian genocide illegal risks destabilising broader diplomatic relations... 2012-01-27

In line with our core view, the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party (FJP) has emerged as the most powerful political force in Egypt following elections to the lower house... 2012-01-23

Recent events corroborate our view that a two-way civil war is developing in Syria. The insurgency of armed rebels and deserters from the military, who call themselves the Free Syrian... 2012-01-17

Despite the commencement of a national dialogue, we maintain our view that the probability of a negotiated settlement between the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and opposition... 2011-07-11

The gathering of Syrian intellectuals and opposition activists in Damascus on June 27 will have a net positive effect on the political crisis facing the country, in our view, though... 2011-06-28

BMI View: Political stability will remain hard to come by in Lebanon over the coming decade. However, despite the range of challenges facing the government, we believe that major political... 2011-06-10

In line with our view, the Syrian government has granted several concessions while continuing to use force against protestors, and we expect this trend to continue over the coming weeks.... 2011-04-20

Egypt's political transition took a small step forward on March 19, following the overwhelming approval of a package of constitutional amendments in a public referendum. According to... 2011-03-22

BMI View: Political stability will remain hard to come by in Lebanon over the coming decade. However, despite the range of challenges facing the government, we believe that major political... 2011-03-10

BMI View: Political stability will remain hard to come by in Lebanon over the coming decade. However, despite the range of challenges facing the government, we believe that major political... 2011-03-10