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Political Risk

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Algeria

Algeria's position as a key supplier of energy to Europe is affording it growing political influence. Recent diplomatic efforts by the EU - led by Germany and France - are likely... 2008-07-22


Algeria

The return of Ahmed Ouyahia to the post of prime minister suggests an attempt by President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to neutralise any potential opponents before next year's presidential... 2008-06-25


Libya

A deal with Ukraine should secure Libya's future wheat supplies, reducing its exposure to global food shortages. In return, Ukraine will regain access to oil concessions.

2008-06-25

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Tunisia

Despite condemnation from human rights groups, we see little prospect for an improvement in political freedoms in the near future. The Tunisian government sees its political stability... 2008-06-25


Morocco

We forecast unemployment to fall slowly to around 8% by 2011. However, failure to improve the education system could constrain job creation, presenting risks to the Kingdom's future... 2008-06-20


Morocco

Widespread strike action poses a downside risk to our political risk ratings, although our core scenario is for negotiations between the government and unions to continue, avoiding... 2008-06-03


Algeria

As the official launch of the Union for the Mediterranean draws closer, we reiterate our view that the Arab-Israeli conflict will hinder any meaningful political integration, although... 2008-05-29


Libya

We have downgraded our short-term political risk ratings in light of the current opacity surrounding potential changes to the Libyan cabinet system. The possibility of major upheaval... 2008-05-15

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