Political Risk

BMI View: An end to Zimbabwe's political crisis is no nearer after the recent summit of regional leaders. Regime hardliners have made only meaningless concessions in negotiations... 2008-08-20

Despite the fact that Zambian President Levy Mwanawasa has been incapacitated by a stroke for a month now, we believe the government of Zambia is likely to continue insisting more... 2008-07-28

With Maputo municipal elections scheduled for 19 November, the Electoral Administration Technical Secretariat (STAE) - the electoral branch of the Mozambican civil service - is currently... 2008-07-25

The Namibian press regularly carries stories of the actions of the Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) in arresting suspected perpetrators and investing cases of corruption. While recognising... 2008-07-16

BMI View: The opposition has withdrawn from the presidential run-off election, but the government is intent on holding the poll even though the region and wider world have said... 2008-06-26

South Africa's political risk profile deteriorated significantly in Q208, and we believe that the threats to political stability and policy continuity will remain considerable over... 2008-06-17

After much controversy, the delayed run-off to decide the inconclusive presidential contest will now take place in late June. In our view, the risks to free and fair elections will... 2008-05-20

In light of rising policy uncertainty and a potential deeper rift within the African National Congress (ANC), combined with worsening macroeconomic fundamentals, we believe that a... 2008-03-26

BMI View : National elections will be held at the end of March. Zimbabwe is totally unprepared, and there is little chance of a clean ballot. But Mugabe is no longer assured of the... 2008-02-22

While Jacob Zuma's victory as ANC president will increase political uncertainty over the medium term, we maintain our view that a potential national presidency of Zuma is unlikely... 2007-12-19