Political Risk

BMI View: We see President Jacob Zuma as being in pole position to become the ANC's candidate for the presidency in December 2012, thereby positioning him to secure a second term... 2012-01-19

BMI View: The EU's decision to resume multilateral relations with Madagascar indicates that some progress is being made towards restoring political stability on the island. Increased... 2011-12-16

BMI View: Although Namibia is consistently ranked highly in terms of transparency, business environment, and general effectiveness of the government relative to its African peers,... 2011-12-05

BMI View: The outcome of Angola's 2012 parliamentary election is seemingly inevitable, with recent constitutional changes and a fragmented opposition setting the stage for a sweeping... 2011-11-04

BMI View: The resignation of Madagascar's Prime Minister Albert Camille Vital and his cabinet, in line with the peace agreement brokered by the Southern African Development Community,... 2011-10-19

BMI View: Political uncertainty is growing ahead of South Africa's African National Congress 2012 elections. We see growing risks that President Jacob Zuma will fail to secure re-election.... 2011-10-12

BMI View: Market sentiment in Zambia is firmly on the fence following the first two weeks of Michael Sata's presidency as he begins to test the waters in several ways. We believe... 2011-10-07

BMI View: The victory of opposition presidential candidate Michael Sata in the elections held on September 20 has spurred a negative market reaction. While we believe that his victory... 2011-09-23

BMI View: An agreement reached at the latest Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit bodes well for elections to be held in crisis ridden Madagascar in the next 18 months.... 2011-09-19

The recent spate of strikes in South Africa poses downside risks to economic growth and investment. Furthermore, it will exacerbate the feeling among foreign investors that policy uncertainty... 2011-07-14