Oil Deals Will Drive Long-Term Growth

The multitude of competing political parties coupled with the lack of reliable opinion polling means that predicting the outcome of March's national parliamentary elections is largely fruitless. However, the choices that Iraqis make when they go to the polls will have significant implications for the country's long-term direction. American troops are due leave Iraq by the end of 2011 (at the latest), meaning that the next government will be increasingly free from external constraints.

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