Iran
Economy
While the government's decision to hold off for two months the introduction of a 3% value-added tax appears to have brought to an end a week of strikes in Tehran's main bazaar today...
2008-10-13Economy
International sanctions and the global economic slowdown, in addition to lower oil prices and elevated inflation levels will conspire to slow economic growth over the forecast period,...
2008-10-10Economy
The Iranian rial appears to have departed from its previous path of gradual depreciation via a crawling peg. We see a risk of further sharp declines, in line with a US dollar bounce,...
2008-10-08Economy
The central government will continue to pursue an expansionist fiscal policy over the forecast period, running up large deficits which, for now, will be financed using the Oil Stabilisation...
2008-10-01Economy
Global oil prices have declined substantially since July and there is a possibility of further major declines to around the US$50/bbl mark. Under these circumstances, Iran's current...
2008-10-01Political Risk
At the end of last month we at BMI tried to provide an insight into Iran's nuclear program (see Nuclear Programme: A Closer Look, August 29) and comments today (September 26) by...
2008-09-26Political Risk
News that Syria has amassed 10,000 troops on the Lebanese border underscores our view that the opposition is likely to strengthen its position, if not win outright, in next year's...
2008-09-24Economy
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei recently gave his public backing to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, telling him in late August to 'work as if you will stay in charge for...
2008-09-24Economy
The Central Bank of Iran recently released the central government's approved budget for this year. It allows for a considerable fiscal deficit, which we forecast to come in at 5.8%...
2008-09-24




