Political Risk

Efforts to promote a moderate interpretation of Islam represent a widening of anti-terrorism strategy in North Africa. However, we do not expect it to have a significant impact on... 2009-07-15

Recent attacks prove that terrorism remains a significant threat in Algeria. A major build-up of military personnel could see the conflict intensify, although we do not anticipate... 2009-06-25

The local elections results were a blow for both the governing coalition and the Islamist PJD. However, the presence of a new party - the PAM - did help invigorate the electorate,... 2009-06-23

The re-election of Abdelaziz Bouteflika as president of Algeria passed without any major surprises: as expected, Bouteflika won a landslide, with more than 90% of the popular vote,... 2009-05-05

Robust economic growth and a slew of new construction projects will encourage immigration to Libya over the coming years. Whereas migrants from sub-Saharan Africa previously saw Libya... 2009-05-01

While Tunisia continues to score highly in our political risk ratings, we highlight ongoing risks to stability, with recent events illustrating the continued existence of a committed... 2009-04-29

President Abdelaziz Bouteflika's recent visit to the restive Kabylie region revealed the ongoing security threat there, and illustrated government fears that a low voter tur- out... 2009-03-30

While generally viewed as being more socially moderate than many of its Arab counterparts, Morocco's restrictions on press, religious and personal freedoms are unlikely to be relaxed... 2009-03-24

The forthcoming release of political prisoners appears to suggest reconciliation between the government and the Islamist groups that fought against it in the 1990s. This underscores... 2009-03-13

Plans to abolish Libya's ministries and distribute oil wealth directly to the people are being pushed ahead. Many questions remain unanswered as to how this change will be effected... 2009-02-24