Political Risk

The outlook for Libya's interim Transitional National Council (TNC), effectively the de-facto government for rebel-held areas in the east of the country, remains relatively bleak. Although... 2011-05-12

Unlike most other Middle East and North African (MENA) states, Algeria holds two main instruments to ease popular tension: hydrocarbon wealth and willingness to make compromises, which... 2011-05-03

Developments in Libya's civil conflict continue to unfold at a rapid clip, and the political situation should be expected to remain highly volatile in the near term. Reports on March... 2011-03-14

The ongoing political and economic reforms undertaken by the government in recent years underpin our view that Morocco possesses one of the most stable political climates in the region.... 2011-03-04

BMI View: Libya faces the risk of state collapse and civil war, following Colonel Qadhafi's loss of control of the east of the country, and the absence of a clear process for transferring... 2011-02-24

Our core scenario does not see current unrest in Algeria as capable of driving a change of regime, with the government's energy wealth likely to offset most of the protesters' grievances.... 2011-02-15

Despite the outbreak of social unrest across North Africa, Morocco's internal political situation remains relatively stable and we only see small risks for large-scale protests. Nevertheless,... 2011-02-11

Libya's risk profile is coming under increasing scrutiny, particularly as the recent upsurge in violent unrest across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) since the beginning of... 2011-02-01

After the toppling of Tunisia's government and President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, the country's political risk profile is considerably more uncertain. As such, we have downgraded our... 2011-01-17

Tunisia's efforts to root out terrorism, such as the November 11 decision to jail 23 Tunisian nationals for terror-related activities, is both positive and negative for Tunisia's political... 2010-11-22