Political Risk

After much controversy, the delayed run-off to decide the inconclusive presidential contest will now take place in late June. In our view, the risks to free and fair elections will... 2008-05-20

In light of rising policy uncertainty and a potential deeper rift within the African National Congress (ANC), combined with worsening macroeconomic fundamentals, we believe that a... 2008-03-26

BMI View : National elections will be held at the end of March. Zimbabwe is totally unprepared, and there is little chance of a clean ballot. But Mugabe is no longer assured of the... 2008-02-22

While Jacob Zuma's victory as ANC president will increase political uncertainty over the medium term, we maintain our view that a potential national presidency of Zuma is unlikely... 2007-12-19

BMI View: As President Mogae outlined in his final State of the Nation speech, much has been achieved in the social arena during his tenure. This bodes well for continued progress... 2007-11-28

BMI View: Plotting and intrigue within the ruling ZANU-PF shows no sign of stopping. Mugabe's position is far from secure, and he is especially vulnerable given the harm that economic... 2007-11-28

BMI View:The ruling African National Congress (ANC) is embarking on the crucial phase of its preparations for the 2009 general election. A policy conference in late June will establish... 2007-06-26

BMI View:There are indications that regional governments, and especially South Africa (SA), have reached the belated conclusion that a solution to the Zimbabwean crisis must be found... 2007-06-25

BMI View:The ruling African National Congress Party is entering an intense phase of a process that will culminate in December with the selection of its candidate for the 2008 presidential... 2007-06-01

Relations between President Robert Mugabe's government and the IMF are near rock bottom. However, this was not always the case: during much of the 1990s the Fund and Mugabe governments... 2007-02-28