Lebanon
Generally speaking, we think the much-talked about Sunni-Shi'a divide in the Middle East is broadly confined to Iraq and Lebanon, with most of the tensions elsewhere being stirred...
2008-09-09Political Risk
The willingness of Hizbullah to turn over the apparent culprit in the shooting down of a Lebanese army helicopter would appear to suggest that this incident was more an accident than...
2008-09-01Political Risk
In the light of the visits to Baghdad by Turkey's Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan in July, King Abdullah of Jordan earlier this month, and now by Lebanon's Prime Minister Fouad Siniora,...
2008-08-21Political Risk
Although the memorandum of understanding signed by Hizbullah and a number of Sunni Islamist (or 'Salafi') groups in Lebanon this week appears to have been frozen, the fact that it...
2008-08-20Political Risk
Yesterday's bus bombing in Tripoli is a reminder that the 'stability' supposedly ensuing from the establishment of the government is only skin deep, and could deteriorate substantially...
2008-08-14Political Risk
We continue to see an outside risk that Israel could once again attack neighbouring Lebanon, in an attempt to reduce the threat posed by Hizbullah. Recent signs suggest that hostility...
2008-08-11Economy
BMI View: The outlook has brightened considerably since our last Business Forecast Report, and we have revised up our real GDP growth forecasts accordingly.
2008-08-08Economy
BMI View: The current account deficit will continue to improve over the forecast period, narrowing to a much more manageable 3.7% of GDP in 2012, and our new long-term forecasts project...
2008-08-05Economy
Under the terms of the Doha deal, the Sunni community is no longer assured of a second election victory, with a president judged by some to be pro-Syrian (and hence pro-opposition),...
2008-07-25Political Risk
The formation of a government is a good sign for Lebanon, and our short-term political risk rating has risen slightly from 38.5 to 41.9 as a result. However, in reality, the new cabinet...
2008-07-25



