Libya

Although oil prices have come off recent highs, there are still substantial upside risks to our major macro forecasts this year and, to a lesser extent, in 2005. Essentially, economic... 2004-09-10

The launch of a new licensing round under new, improved fiscal terms, could herald Libya's re-emergence as a genuine oil power. BMI View: The country's creaking bureaucracy may, however,... 2004-05-11

The return of international oil companies suggests that the long-term trend rate of growth is likely to rise over the foreast period. However, over the forecast period the risks to... 2004-04-27

Despite the vaunted political flowering in Tripoli, it pays to keep a realistic view of the pace of change in Libya. Modernisers are not having it all their way, as reformist Prime... 2004-04-15

Oil majors and international political leaders are beating a path to Tripoli's door, but domestic political and economic reform looks trickier. BMI View: Colonel Qadhafi will keep... 2004-04-14

The new Libyan PM Shukri Ghanem's reformist credentials remain unimpeachable, but his straight talking, in a late February interview with the BBC, exposed the uncomfortable realities... 2004-03-16

The US and Libya are making all the right moves to prepare the ground for a full resumption of commercial ties. BMI View: Tripoli's speedy defusing of the crisis surrounding PM Shukri... 2004-03-16

Libya - Macroeconomci data and forecasts

The prospects for foreign participation in the oil sector have been overlooked in the political frenzy surrounding Libya's WMD admission. BMI View: US oil companies - and implicitly... 2004-02-17

The speed of Libya's diplomatic rehabilitation has defied all expectations. The February 10 visit of Foreign Affairs Minister Mohammed Abdulrahman Shalgam to London for a meeting... 2004-02-17