Political Risk

Israel may agree that Egypt can deploy security forces on the Gaza-Egypt border, in order to prevent the smuggling of weapons and the transit of militants across the frontier. Under... 2005-07-06

The new Iraqi prime minister has said he will visit Syria to discuss border security.

A constitutional amendment to allow more than one candidate for the presidency was ratified by a referendum on May 25.

In spite of the withdrawal of its forces from Lebanon, the Syrian regime remains under pressure, both at home and abroad. BMI View: It is likely that the forthcoming Baath Party... 2005-06-06

Following the appointment of a new prime minister and cabinet in April, King Abdullah has replaced his intelligence chief. BMI View: The reshuffle demonstrates Abdullah's frustration... 2005-06-06

Prime Minister Najib Mikati announced that parliamentary elections will take place in regional stages on May 29, June 5, June 12 and June 19.

Hamas won 33% of the vote in local elections across 84 municipalities in May. BMI View: Given Hamas's widespread support, some recognition of its de facto power is probably essential... 2005-05-10

Fear of a 'non' vote in France have drawn attention to the risks surrounding Turkey's EU accession. BMI View: We anticipate that negotiations will begin on time, although the issue... 2005-05-09

In April, a bomb killed four tourists in Cairo, and a suicide bomber wounded seven more. BMI View: After seven years without an attack on tourists, the attacks seen in the past seven... 2005-05-04

Violent resistance is clearly possible, but is likely to be a minority phenomenon, with the majority of settlers against the use of violent resistance; non-violent resistance is almost... 2005-05-04