Algeria

The head of NATO chose Algiers as his first stop in talks on enhancing ties with the MENA region. BMI View: Algeria and Morocco have been more receptive than Gulf states to NATO's... 2004-12-02

Strong oil prices have persisted into Q4 and there is a US$3/b upside risk to our average oil price forecast of US$35/b in 2004. The corollary is that there are upside risks to our... 2004-11-11

The upwards revision to our oil price forecasts adds upside risk to our forecasts for exports and growth. These risks will increase if ongoing geopolitical turbulence in key producer... 2004-10-08

The continued buoyancy of oil prices poses upside risk to our forecast of 7.2% real growth, which is underpinned by strong agricultural production. Repairs to the Skikda gas plant,... 2004-09-10

The country's key militant group has stepped up attacks in the Kabylie region. BMI View: The success of the government's response will depend on its ability to resume dialogue with... 2004-06-10

An upsurge of militant attacks in the troubled Kabylie region shows that the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (le Groupe Salafiste pour la Prédication et la Combat, or GSPC)... 2004-06-10

The government's new economic programme has gained the backing of the FLN despite its conflict with the president before the elections. BMI View: This signals a desire for reconciliation... 2004-06-10

BMI View: We are forecasting growth of 7.2% this year, with key risks posed by oil and gas prices. Expanding natural gas production will help insulate against any weakening of the... 2004-06-10

300 militants have reportedly surrendered, in a positive signal for the peace process. BMI View: However, hardline elements remain a threat, and violent attacks on civilians increased... 2004-05-12

President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has been re-elected in April polls, which were endorsed by international observers, although the campaign process was strongly weighted in his favour... 2004-04-15