Nigeria

As a result of an amendment to our forecast methodology, we have revised downwards our projections for real growth in 2004 and 2005. However, the underlying picture remains the same.... 2004-05-10

Oil prices look set to stay high throughout the forecast period and beyond. BMI View: Although this suggests upside risks to our macro forecasts, it will do little to reduce endemic... 2004-05-10

BMI View: Ongoing oil price strength poses upside risks to growth, exports, government revenue and reserves. Should OPEC increase the country's supply quota later this year, risks... 2004-04-29

According to recent IMF estimates, last year's high oil prices fuelled an impressive 10.75% GDP growth, causing us to upwardly revise our 2004 growth forecast to 5.0%. Strong export... 2004-03-24

Fresh outbreaks of violence in Plateau State, where society is increasingly fractured along ethnic and religious lines, have killed at least 62 people and displaced thousands more.... 2004-03-17

The government plans to revive the grains sector, aiming for the country to become a net grains exporter by 2007. BMI View: While this will help reduce food insecurity, major infrastructure... 2004-03-17

Renewed violence in Plateau State has led to 62 deaths, and has displaced thousands, increasing the risk that conflict will spread. Although there are long-running ethnic and religious... 2004-03-17

Economic prospects are highly concentrated around the oil industry. Consequently, prospects in 2004 and thereafter depend on the health of oil prices and also production levels. Overall,... 2004-01-02