Political Risk East & Central Africa Homepage

Optimism in Somalia following a crucial agreement with a leading clan has been undermined by an outbreak of fighting between two semi-autonomous regions, plus increased factional... 2007-10-30

A lull in fighting between the government and a powerful Tutsi renegade faction in the DRC's resource rich east appears unlikely to last, undermining the implementation of post-election... 2007-10-30

Government attempts to set up a policy framework that minimizes the scope for institutional corruption in the oil sector is laudable. However, a greater potential danger could be... 2007-10-30

The security situation in Darfur appears to be worsening noticeably ahead of the peace negotiations between the Sudanese government and the region's numerous rebel groups, scheduled... 2007-10-02

Somali opposition groups have united under a new umbrella alliance, with the aim of overthrowing the incumbent Transitional Federal Government (TFG). The formation of the Alliance... 2007-09-23

International pressure is building to bring the long-running tensions in Sudan's western Darfur region to an end. The country remains beset by unrest, and two of the three peace deals... 2007-09-04

A fresh conflict with Uganda appears to have been averted. BMI View: The DRC government's apparent willingness to compromise with key neighbouring powers is cautiously reassuring,... 2007-09-03

BMI View: The breakup of the opposition coalition (ODM-Kenya) bodes well for incumbent President Mwai Kibak, at the upcoming presidential elections. We continue to predict a Kibaki... 2007-08-21

The political and security situation in the east continues to deteriorate. BMI View: The government needs to tread carefully in dealing with renegade Gen Laurent Nkunda.

BMI View: Far from being a conciliatory gesture, President Kabila's move to replace the military top brass represents a further concentration of power which could even have negative... 2007-06-29