Political Risk East & Central Africa Homepage

BMI View: Although key global powers are now taking a significant interest in Sudan's looming referendum - and a subsequent likely secession by oil-rich South Sudan - a peaceful... 2010-10-08

The governments of Sudan and semi-autonomous South Sudan continue to stumble unconvincingly towards a contentious referendum planned for January 2011, with the fallout from recent national... 2010-07-13

While a dramatic improvement in bilateral relations with Chad supports the security of Sudan's government, Khartoum will need to carefully avoid a concomitant deterioration in relations... 2010-07-13

BMI View: Japan's plans to establish a military base in Djibouti demonstrate that it is increasingly willing to defend its interests abroad. However, Japan's colossal fiscal and debt... 2010-05-26

BMI undertook a research trip to DRC in May 2010; we found that although a number of initiatives aimed at bringing greater scrutiny and regulation to the opaque mineral trade are now... 2010-05-25

BMI View: Early results from mid-April polls indicate that Sudan's President al-Bashir and the NCP have comfortably held onto power. The flawed nature of the election process bodes... 2010-04-21

BMI View: We are cautiously optimistic on the prospects for Kenya's constitutional review process after the parliament's approval of a new draft constitution, though a number of... 2010-04-20

BMI View: Kenya faces many obstacles on the road towards a mature post-ethnic democracy, as evidenced by the violence following the disputed 2007 election. Domestic developments over... 2010-01-21

Despite the DRC's vast quantity of arable land, we do not see any end to the food crisis that has been plaguing the country since the mid 1990s. Food shortages are the result of insufficient... 2009-12-24

Despite a number of encouraging statements from local politicians, we believe there is a growing risk of political violence in the run up to parliamentary and presidential elections... 2009-12-17