Political Risk

While the appointment of a new United Nations envoy to Western Sahara is a step in the right direction, we do not expect any rapid resolution to the territory's conflict with Morocco.... 2009-01-15

Terrorism remains a threat in Algeria, even though the civilian security situation has improved. As ever, though, unemployment should be the number one concern of the Bouteflika regime.... 2009-01-06

Libya's failure to prevent illegal immigration from its shores is creating discord between itself and southern Europe. While the bulk of migrants come from outside Libya, Qadhafi's... 2008-12-30

Unemployment is forecast to rise in 2009, due to tougher domestic conditions and the return of migrant workers from Europe, with implications for female and youth participation in... 2008-11-11

Political transformation will remain hard to come by in Libya. In practical terms, little has changed so far and despite Qadhafi's rhetoric, we believe that many within the ruling... 2008-11-06

Our core scenario is for an easy victory for incumbent President Abdelaziz Bouteflika in the 2009 presidential poll. Unemployment and ongoing terrorist activity both pose downside... 2008-11-04

While the forthcoming local elections are unlikely to produce a seismic shift in the political landscape, the performance of Morocco's newest political party will be watched with... 2008-10-29

Foreign ministers from the Maghreb region will meet with US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, currently taking place in... 2008-09-25

Human rights groups have welcomed last week's decision by a Moroccan appeal court to dismiss the jail sentence and fine imposed on a blogger deemed to have insulted King Mohammed... 2008-09-22

Unemployment will remain a concern, and a risk to Tunisia's otherwise strong political risk profile. Rising participation in higher education is creating job expectations that the... 2008-08-29