Political Risk

A constitutional amendment allowing President Bouteflika to run for a third term is expected by the end of the year. This bodes well for political stability in the short term, although... 2008-02-08

While the Tunisian media appears to be challenging the absolute control exerted by the state, we do not expect any major improvements in media or political freedoms in the short to... 2008-02-08

Our core view remains that terrorist activity poses a muted threat to political stability in North Africa as a whole. However, the rising frequency of attacks in Algeria has prompted... 2008-01-08

BMI View: Rising incomes, solid growth and prudent economic policies should underpin domestic political stability going forward, although high unemployment and the country's democratic... 2007-09-25

Despite concerns regarding a growing terrorist threat in Tunisian and the Maghreb generally, we remain sanguine with regards to ongoing political stability in the country. Armed clashes... 2007-05-22

News that the US is to aid Libya in the development of a civilian nuclear programme is illustrative of just how far the North African country's status within the international realm... 2007-05-02

We expect no major shift in power following the May 17 parliamentary election in Algeria, when the largest party within the ruling coalition, the National Liberation Front (FLN) looks... 2007-05-01

A number of arrests and allegations planned suicide operations have followed the explosion in internet café in Casablanca, with the authorities claiming that the suspected terrorists... 2007-04-04

Despite the oil driven boom, Algeria remains a story of high potential and high risk. Indeed, with major reconstruction projects, a US$80bn five year development plan and plentiful... 2007-04-03

Seif al-Islam's increasing prominence in public policy making and the external front is a positive for Libyan reform prospects and development. The son of the leader, Colonel Muammar... 2007-04-03