Political Risk East & Central Africa Homepage

While President Joseph Kabila's reasons for demanding the UN's withdrawal from the DRC are understandable, there is a risk that a premature exit of international peace-keepers would... 2009-11-23

Following a reports in late September that President Joseph Kabila had set a commission to re-assess certain aspects of the constitution, we believe that he may be planning to abolish... 2009-10-26

BMI View: The Kenyan government faces two major political challenges. A special court must be set up to try the alleged perpetrators of post-election violence. There is also a pressing... 2009-07-10

Escalating ethnic clashes in semi-autonomous South Sudan could represent a familiar pattern of destabilisation, designed to derail the self-determination process that ended Sudan's... 2009-07-09

BMI View: Angola and the DRC are at odds over the ownership of Angola's oil reserves, and the issue of enhanced security measures at the shared border. Yet, given the mutual interest... 2009-06-05

BMI View: Rising unemployment in Kenya poses risk to short-term political stability. We believe ongoing high inflation will compound the pressure, potentially leading to frequent... 2009-03-24

BMI View: President Omar Hassan al-Bashir's refusal to accept an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court (ICC) bodes ill for foreign relations. It also presents a risk... 2009-03-05

BMI View: We are concerned over political risk in Kenya, following the failure to establish a local tribunal to try the alleged perpetrators of the post-election violence. Civil... 2009-02-27

While a referendum planned for 2011 could result in secession by South Sudan, this is by no means a foregone conclusion. A host of other outcomes, including a resumption of civil... 2009-02-10

We do not believe that the attacks by fleeing Lord's Resistance Army fighters on villages in the DRC and South Sudan are an indication that the rebel group has not been materially... 2009-01-29