Iraq
Economy
The multitude of competing political parties coupled with the lack of reliable opinion polling means that predicting the outcome of March's national parliamentary elections is largely...
2010-05-20Economy
Our core scenario is for Kuwait to offer Iraq a debt relief package. As a result, the latter's external debt metrics will improve considerably by the end of the forecast period. Even...
2010-05-19Political Risk
Iraq is at its most stable since the 2003 US-led invasion, but the numerous challenges it faces present significant risks that it could descend in to chaos once again. That said, our...
2010-05-18Economy
Following Iraq's roll out of a new consumer price basket, we have slightly altered our inflation forecasts for 2010 but our core view remains the same: inflation will remain at acceptable...
2010-05-18Economy
Real GDP will grow by an average 5.6% annually over the next five years, driven primarily by government spending growth and the steady, if unspectacular, expansion of the oil sector....
2010-05-12Economy
We forecast strong Iraqi import growth over the coming years, mainly driven by capital imports for the expansion of the oil and gas sector, as well as for general infrastructure development....
2010-05-04Economy
Iraq-Kuwait relations look set to remain frosty over the short to medium term after lawyers working for Kuwait made attempts in late April to confiscate the first Iraqi Airways ...
2010-05-04Political Risk
With the composition of Iraq's next government still far from clear, we assess two possible scenarios for coalition forming. One path could lead to faster Sunni-Shi'a reconciliation...
2010-04-28Economy
The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) cut its policy interest rate by 100bps on April 4, from 7.0% to 6.0%, but owing to the nascent state of Iraq's financial system, this move will have...
2010-04-07Political Risk
While it could take several weeks for the full results to be made public, initial returns from Iraq's national elections suggest that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's State of Law...
2010-03-15



