Algeria

The resurgence in oil prices in late February is good news for Algeria; the price of Brent Crude topped US$100.0/bbl on February 26 and by the end of the month, the Opec Basket was... 2008-02-28

Our short-term political risk rating has risen slightly on the back of an improved score for policy continuity, which reflects the increasing likelihood that President Bouteflika... 2008-02-27

Agricultural output in Algeria could dip this year due to low rainfall; the effect on GDP growth is likely to be muted but increased food imports could feed into higher inflation.... 2008-02-26

Continued high oil prices will fund an expansion in government consumption over the next few years, while the licensing of new oil and gas exploration blocks should support investment... 2008-02-14

A constitutional amendment allowing President Bouteflika to run for a third term is expected by the end of the year. This bodes well for political stability in the short term, although... 2008-02-08

January saw no let up in the spate of terrorist attacks that is plaguing Algeria. On January 29, a car bomb exploded in the town of Thenia, east of the capital Algiers, targeting... 2008-01-31

Oil output will increase in 2008, continuing the upward trend seen over the last five years. This, combined with our oil price forecasts, bodes well for export revenues. We are forecasting... 2008-01-31

The Algerian dinar continues to appreciate against the dollar, heading towards our 2007 year-end forecast of DZD65.0/US$.

Our short-term political ratings have remained steady this month. Although terrorist activity remains a threat, this is already factored into our score, as is the risk of public unrest.... 2007-12-19

Despite government efforts, we foresee no respite for Algeria in terms of unemployment. We forecast that the official unemployment rate will remain stubbornly at 15% in 2008, although... 2007-11-26