Tunisia

We see the budget deficit widening to 3% of GDP in 2008, with rising oil and food prices posing further potential upside risk to government spending on subsidies.

We forecast a narrowing of the current account deficit in 2008 to US$0.7bn from US$1.4bn in 2007. This is partly due to an expansion of the surplus on the services account: the services... 2008-02-27

Significant investment flows are expected to drive an acceleration in GDP growth in 2008, supporting employment and the expansion of the all-important services sector.

While the Tunisian media appears to be challenging the absolute control exerted by the state, we do not expect any major improvements in media or political freedoms in the short to... 2008-02-08

At the time of writing, interior ministers from across the Arab world were convening in Tunis for their annual meeting. This year, terrorism is top of the agenda, with ministers debating... 2008-02-04

We forecast Tunisia's foreign reserves to grow to US$9.3bn by the end of 2008, up from an estimated US$8.1bn in 2007. The country's reserves have grown steadily in recent years, despite... 2008-02-04

Tunisia's short-term political risk rating has risen slightly on the back of a reassessment of its score for security threats. There is a generalised risk of terrorist attacks throughout... 2007-12-19

Inflation spiked to an a y-o-y average of 4.5% in 2006 but has since been on a downward trend, which we think will continue into 2008.

Although they remain small in comparison to oil-exporting neighbours Libya and Algeria, Tunisia is slowly building up its foreign reserves. We forecast that will reach US$9.4bn by... 2007-11-26

Tunisia clearly has the most stable political system in North Africa, a fact that is reflected in our political risk ratings. Democracy is certainly lacking and the government has... 2007-11-23