Political Risk

BMI View: We continue to hold a bearish political and economic outlook on Madagascar, given that a reconciliation between President Andry Rajoelina and the main opposition parties... 2010-08-27

BMI View: It remains to be seen whether the post-World Cup euphoria in South Africa will last, or whether it will prove to be a temporary phenomenon. Key political challenges include... 2010-07-14

China's new focus on developing a range of sectors in Zambia, rather than just extractive industries, will help the Zambian government to justify such a deep partnership instead of... 2010-06-07

BMI View: Political risk remains high in Madagascar, as highlighted by recent gun battles in Antananarivo and clear discord between the current and former presidents. We continue... 2010-06-01

BMI View: We are highly concerned over the political environment in Madagascar, following the conclusion of yet another round of unfruitful negotiations held between the country's... 2010-05-04

BMI View: We believe that racial tensions will be contained in South Africa, in light of the government's move to clamp down on the incitement of racial hatred ahead of the football... 2010-04-22

BMI View: Political risk is heightened in Madagascar, following the African Union's imposition of sanctions and a subsequent backlash from President Andry Rajoelina. While the outlook... 2010-03-30

We see Angola's latest constitutional rewrite as a confirmation of a national trend towards centralising executive power. As such, we expect the new constitution to help entrench... 2010-03-02

BMI View: We are encouraged to see signs that President Andry Rajoelina is willing to compromise with his political opponents. The reconciliation meeting scheduled for March 4-5... 2010-03-01

BMI View: President Andry Rajoelina's apparent unwillingness to negotiate with the opposition on a power-sharing agreement bodes ill for Madagascar's political environment. Parliamentary... 2010-02-03