Economy East & Central Africa Homepage

Our long-held view that the yields on Kenyan local government debt will rise over the course of 2011 has been reinforced by the March 22 rate hike in response to rising inflation and... 2011-03-23

The Nairobi Stock Exchange-20 index has continued its rapid decline, falling to trade at 3,915 at one point on March 10, some 15.5% below its 2011 highs of early January. We highlighted... 2011-03-14

BMI View: The Ugandan shilling is testing support, threatening to return to all-time lows below UGX2,400 after receiving a post-election bounce. Lagging export revenues, increasing... 2011-03-08

We expect oil production to have a significant impact on headline growth beginning in 2012, when GDP is forecast to expand by 9.3%. Besides exports, domestic consumption will also be... 2011-02-24

The improving macroeconomic management of the country, as well as high commodity prices for key exports such as copper, bode well for future growth in the DRC. We expect real GDP expansion... 2011-02-24

BMI View: The Democratic Republic of Congo has revised some of its inflation figures, and we have adjusted our own data and forecasts taking this into account. Inflation finally dropped... 2011-01-28

BMI View: The Democratic Republic of Congo has revised some of its inflation figures, and we have adjusted our own data and forecasts taking this into account. Inflation finally dropped... 2011-01-28

BMI View: The end of period inflation came in at 3.1% for 2010, the highest figure Uganda had experienced since July. We expect that this is a signal that inflation has bottomed out... 2011-01-28

BMI View: The end of period inflation came in at 3.1% for 2010, the highest figure Uganda had experienced since July. We expect that this is a signal that inflation has bottomed out... 2011-01-28

BMI View: Our economic forecasts are now predicated on secession by Southern Sudan in July 2011. However, big downside and upside risks exist, due to huge uncertainties related to... 2011-01-19