Political Risk

The Lebanese BLOM Stock Index has responded well to the election result, and bypassed the correction that hit stocks elsewhere in the region, hitting a new 8-month high of 1,475 on... 2009-07-03

BMI View: Egypt's criticism of Iran's alleged oppression of protestors may come back to haunt it, with the 2010 parliamentary and 2011 presidential polls set to be a genuine test... 2009-06-29

We expect Jordan to remain broadly stable, and although unemployment is likely to tick up as the domestic economy slows, the government's fiscal stimulus should provide somewhat of... 2009-06-12

Whether the Hizbullah-led March 8 or the pro-US March 14 coalition take more seats in parliament following Sunday's elections, the former will almost certainly improve on its current... 2009-06-05

Despite the usual affirmations regarding the strength of the US-Israeli relationship, Binyamin Netanyahu's talks with Barack Obama in Washington have revealed key differences in their... 2009-05-19

BMI View: Tensions with Israel remain high, and now Egypt looks as though it is getting dragged into the Iran-Hizbullah-Israel dispute as well.

We have said in the past that we expect Hizbullah to improve its parliamentary standing in the June 9 elections, and we stand by this view. The Christian vote seems to be divided,... 2009-04-08

Policy uncertainty is set to rise in Turkey as the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) lost ground in local elections held on March 29. While we still expect the passage... 2009-03-30

BMI View: With public sentiment still firmly against the Mubarak government, and the US administration looking very conciliatory towards Middle Eastern groups of all hues, the Muslim... 2009-03-27

We expect Jordan to remain broadly stable, although a resurgence in violence between Israel and Hamas would heighten the risk of social instability erupting.