Iran

Real GDP growth will continue to slow down over the next two years, coming in around 5.0% in 2008 and 4.6% in 2009, following a decline in private and public consumption growth rates... 2008-03-03

BMI View: We expect the parliamentary election on March 14 to be a contest between existing conservative factions, the pro- and anti-presidential blocs, especially given the recent... 2008-02-20

We continue to see Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad facing increased domestic pressure and recent events indicate he could be losing favour with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali... 2008-02-01

We forecast real GDP growth to continue to slow over the next two years, coming in around 5.0% in 2008 and 4.6% in 2009, on the back of declining private and public consumption growth... 2008-02-01

We reiterate our view that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is under increased domestic pressure as nearly a third of the country's population are facing gas and electricity... 2008-01-22

BMI View: Although we expect the Iranian economy to hold up in the short-term on the back of high oil prices and inward investment from the Far East, we anticipate growth will slow... 2008-01-15

BMI View: In spite of central bank plans to reform the interest rate regime, we still expect monetary growth and inflation to remain high over the forecast period due to Ahmadinejad's... 2008-01-15

BMI View: Iran's poor fiscal position will continue to deteriorate over the coming years following a stagnation in oil production and, more significantly, continued imprudent spending... 2008-01-15

BMI View: Although the recent confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz has temporarily increased tensions between Iran and the US, we still believe the Iranian nuclear crisis will be... 2008-01-09

A diplomatic quarrel between Iran and Iraq erupted recently following comments from Iraqi President Jalal Talabani that a 32-year-old agreement that defines the two countries' borders... 2008-01-02