Iraq

We forecast Iraq to turn out a manageable fiscal deficit of 2.9% of GDP in 2010, a shortfall far smaller than the government expects. This discrepancy primarily arises from our more... 2010-01-28

The oil sector will remain the lifeblood of the Iraqi economy well into the long term. As such, the successful second oil licensing round over December 12-13, in conjunction with... 2009-12-16

Despite our gloomy outlook for the global economy - we see global growth coming in at -2.5% in 2009, with only a modest recovery in 2010 - Iraq is set to be quite an outlier. Indeed,... 2009-11-11

The massive bombings in Baghdad on October 25 highlight the fact that the security gains of recent years remain fragile, and could dent support for Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki... 2009-11-09

The improvements in the security situation mean that the frontier market of Iraq has now become a viable investment destination. However, security gains alone will not result in a... 2009-11-06

Real GDP will grow by an average 5.6% annually over the next five years, on the back of steadily increasing oil output as foreign oil majors move in. Our upwardly revised bullish... 2009-11-05

We expect the central bank to hold the dinar steady at around IQD1,170/US$ over the next five years. However, if oil exports disappoint and the large current account surpluses that... 2009-11-04

We expect the central bank to hold the dinar steady at around IQD1,170/US$ over the next five years. However, if oil exports disappoint and the large current account surpluses that... 2009-11-04

We expect the central bank to hold the dinar steady at around IQD1,170/US$ over the next five years. However, if oil exports disappoint and the large current account surpluses that... 2009-11-04

The consumer price index rose 2.9% m-o-m in August, although the annual inflation rate remained in negative territory (-0.3%). A full breakdown of the index's subcomponents was not... 2009-10-23