Political Risk

BMI View: The outlook is certainly brighter than it was in our last Business Forecast Report, but we remain cautious. The issue of Hizbullah and its role in the Lebanese state has... 2008-05-23

BMI View: Inflation and fuel price hikes have cause short-term political risk to rise, benefiting the Islamist opposition, but the government will maintain control, and continue along... 2008-05-21

With the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) reversing its public position regarding the outcome of its indictment for alleged anti-secular activities, it is looking increasingly... 2008-05-20

BMI View: Events in Lebanon will keep the Syrian government under external pressure, but its ongoing defiance towards the US will bolster its reputation domestically. We stand by... 2008-05-16

BMI View: The recent municipal elections appear to mark an end to Egypt's democratic experiment, and yet public engagement with politics is at levels not seen since the 1970s. This... 2008-04-21

BMI View: As long as the West Bank and Gaza Strip act independently, then progress in the peace process is highly unlikely, even if the Olmert administration can effect a rapprochement... 2008-03-31

BMI View: Syria's foreign policy continues to be an influential factor on the country's economic outlook and we see the recent deterioration of relations with Israel and the US as... 2008-02-15

BMI View: Although we expect Jordan to remain politically stable over the coming years, especially given that the government has introduced new measures to improve working conditions... 2008-02-14

BMI View: The election of Michel Suleiman as president would not be a panacea for Lebanon's problems, but at the moment it is the most positive development the country can hope for.... 2008-02-01

Our short-term political risk rating remains unchanged following election results in Jordan where the opposition party, the Islamic Action Front (IAF), suffered heavy losses in a... 2007-11-22