Economy

Under our core scenario, Libya's budget will flip heavily into deficit in 2011 to the tune of 3.9% of GDP, compared to a surplus of 13.6% in 2010. To be sure, we caution that given... 2011-04-20

BMI View: While social unrest is sure to weigh on Tunisia's growth prospects, we expect the economy to bounce back over the medium to long term, as the country returns to political... 2011-04-20

Tunisia's growth trajectory will be determined by the smoothness and success of its political transition, and we note that there is still considerable uncertainty surrounding the country's... 2011-04-19

Despite escalating unrest across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, we believe Morocco's government will manage to combat the surge in prices by increasing subsidies for... 2011-04-15

Although strong revenue growth on the back of higher oil prices will bode well for the government's expansionary spending drive, unrest unfolding in the Middle East and North Africa... 2011-04-15

Despite experiencing an uptick in public unrest since the start of the year, we believe Algeria will weather this political crisis relatively well, with economic growth remaining steady... 2011-04-11

In line with our view, consumer price inflation in Tunisia has stabilised, while producer prices have risen (see our online service, October 22, 'Consumer Prices Stable, Producer Prices... 2011-03-25

Large-scale protests in Tunisia, along with the resulting fragile political situation, have moderated our outlook on the country's economic growth prospects. Consumption and export... 2011-03-25

Although official data previously pointed to Libya's stock of foreign reserves at approximately US$100bn, a host of recently introduced sanctions targeting the central bank has significantly... 2011-03-24

Despite our long-term positive view regarding Algeria's fiscal position, in 2011 we expect the budget deficit to widen. Although strong revenue growth on the back of higher oil prices... 2011-03-18