Political Risk

BMI View: Although the government has been attempting to appease voters recently in the run-up to parliamentary elections, we believe that the government will keep hold power in next... 2007-10-30

BMI View: In spite of the recent Israeli incursion into Syria, and the subsequent debate that has raged over the latter's nuclear potential, we still believe these events will not... 2007-10-30

The Turkish government is coming under increasing public pressure to launch a military operation into Iraq's northern region, from which an estimated 3,000 Kurdish separatist rebels... 2007-10-22

While we are confident that the AKP will retain its parliamentary plurality after the July 22 elections, we maintain our caution that a majority is less assured, with a coalition... 2007-06-27

BMI View: Developments in Gaza have complicated an already difficult election year for the Jordanian government, and we would not be surprised to see a crackdown on the political... 2007-06-25

BMI View: Neither the election of Ehud Barak as the chairman of the Labour party nor the presidential polls to be held today pose a threat to policy direction in Israel.

BMI View: We expect President Bashar al-Assad to easily win a second seven-year term in the May 27 presidential referendum, which bodes well for our short-term ratings.

BMI View: The emergence of the Sunni militant group Fatah al-Islam as an additional threat to Lebanon's stability adds to our already deep concern about the future of the state, but... 2007-05-24

BMI View: A government crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood bodes well for stability in the short term but the disempowerment of the opposition weakens democracy in the long term... 2007-05-24

BMI View: We expect President Bashar al-Assad to easily win a second seven-year term in the May 27 presidential referendum, which bodes well for our short-term ratings.