Lebanon

BMI View: We stand by our 'muddle-through' scenario in the immediate term, but recent protests suggest that the current system may be unworkable in the

BMI View: Lebanon is experiencing the worst of both worlds at the moment: economic activity and consumer confidence remain downcast, but inflation is rising. Supply pressures should... 2006-12-01

BMI View: We remain of the view that real GDP growth will pick up from -2% in 2006 to 3.5% in 2007, although any political crisis threatening the January donor conference could cause... 2006-11-30

Based on a core scenario in which Lebanon receives a generous package of aid and loans at the donor conference scheduled for January 2007, we expect the total debt burden to fall... 2006-11-27

The shoring up of the March 14 government, which is likely to result from the assassination of Pierre Gemayel, is good news for investors and good news for international allies such... 2006-11-24

BMI View: If the government can get through the current crisis long enough to approve the formation of the planned tribunal to try those implicated in the assassination of Rafik al-Hariri,... 2006-11-22

BMI View: The risk of the Lebanese government falling has clearly increased with the resignation of five Shia ministers in the government. Such a scenario would compromise the Paris... 2006-11-13

We continue to see negative growth for 2006, and have pencilled in end-year real GDP contraction of -2%. Thereafter, we expect a pick-up to 3.5% in 2007. Considering that it will... 2006-10-26

We continue to see negative growth for 2006, and have pencilled in end-year real GDP contraction of -2%. Thereafter, we expect a pick-up to 3.5% in 2007. Considering that it will... 2006-10-26

Political stability remains elusive, and we see divisions continuing to hamper progress on both a parliamentary and a national level. Indeed, at the time of writing, tensions were... 2006-10-26