Economy

We forecast Algeria's consumer price inflation to remain stable at 4.0% in 2011. While global prices are expected to rise, we believe that the government will raise subsidies in order... 2011-03-18

The recent flare up in violent unrest throughout Libya has forced us to put all of our macroeconomic forecasts for the country on hold for the time being. Marked downgrades to our real... 2011-02-28

While social unrest is sure to weigh on Tunisia's growth prospects in the short term, we expect the economy to bounce back over the medium to long term, as the country returns to political... 2011-02-24

We expect Algeria's consumer price inflation to remain elevated and forecast CPI to come in at 4.0% in 2011, before slowing down to average 3.0% through 2015. Despite the expansionary... 2011-02-24

Despite escalating unrest across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, we believe Morocco's government will manage to combat the surge in consumer prices by increasing subsidies... 2011-02-24

The recent social unrest over unemployment and rising prices witnessed in North Africa, combined with the Moroccan government's announcement of increasing subsidies, has led us to reassess... 2011-02-24

On the back of rising global food prices, we forecast Morocco's inflation to pick up and come in at an average 2.0% in 2011, compared to 1.0% in 2010. Beyond 2011, we expect inflation... 2011-02-02

According to latest data from the central bank, commercial banks' total stock of outstanding credit in the economy came in at LYD12.4bn through October 2010, marking an 11.8% y-o-y... 2011-02-01

We forecast Algeria's budget deficit to contract further in 2011 and come in at a 3.6% of GDP, from 4.3% in the previous year. With revenues from exporting hydrocarbons accounting for... 2011-02-01

We expect consumer price inflation in Morocco to tick up moderately in 2012. Latest government data show that inflation averaged 0.9% in 2011, but we expect upward pressure on prices... 2011-01-30