Political Risk

Algeria's position as a key supplier of energy to Europe is affording it growing political influence. Recent diplomatic efforts by the EU - led by Germany and France - are likely... 2008-07-22

The return of Ahmed Ouyahia to the post of prime minister suggests an attempt by President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to neutralise any potential opponents before next year's presidential... 2008-06-25

A deal with Ukraine should secure Libya's future wheat supplies, reducing its exposure to global food shortages. In return, Ukraine will regain access to oil concessions.

Despite condemnation from human rights groups, we see little prospect for an improvement in political freedoms in the near future. The Tunisian government sees its political stability... 2008-06-25

We forecast unemployment to fall slowly to around 8% by 2011. However, failure to improve the education system could constrain job creation, presenting risks to the Kingdom's future... 2008-06-20

Widespread strike action poses a downside risk to our political risk ratings, although our core scenario is for negotiations between the government and unions to continue, avoiding... 2008-06-03

As the official launch of the Union for the Mediterranean draws closer, we reiterate our view that the Arab-Israeli conflict will hinder any meaningful political integration, although... 2008-05-29

We have downgraded our short-term political risk ratings in light of the current opacity surrounding potential changes to the Libyan cabinet system. The possibility of major upheaval... 2008-05-15

Recent comments from Algeria's energy minister suggest little chance of a compromise on the cut in gas subsidies demanded by the WTO in exchange for membership. With inflation rising... 2008-05-12

The assessment by a UN mediator that Western Saharan independence is unrealistic lends weight to Morocco's position in ongoing negotiations, although a final accord still looks some... 2008-04-25