Political Risk

BMI View : The army's intervention in the presidential election, followed by the annulment of the result of the first round by the Constitutional Court highlights weaknesses within... 2007-05-02

BMI View: We are unconcerned by the current crisis, as our new political risk ratings demonstrate.

BMI View: We believe that Israel may come under some pressure to moderate its foreign policy stance over the coming couple of years, particularly if the US warms to the idea of talks... 2007-03-30

BMI View: The constitutional amendments passed in March will entrench the National Democratic Party's (NDP) control, and disempower the Muslim Brotherhood. However, the implications... 2007-03-30

BMI View: Things are looking up for Syria. We believe that foreign relations will improve, at least with the EU, over the coming couple of years.

BMI View: Although the removal of socialism as a constitutionally defined policy has not provoked much of a political reaction, the fall-out from the government's more pro-market... 2007-02-15

BMI View: With well over a million Iraqis having taken refuge in neighbouring countries since the outbreak of the war, and more to come in all likelihood, there are real risks to... 2007-02-08

BMI View: With both President Moshe Katsav and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert having been under intense pressure to resign of late (and with the former having succumbed on January 24th),... 2007-01-25

BMI View: We do not believe that the new constitutional reforms will result in any significant shift in Egypt's political landscape. Indeed, they could actually strengthen the NDP,... 2007-01-19

BMI View: We see a Likud victory over the next two years as more than plausible, given high levels of public discontent with Prime Minister Ehud Olmert.