Lebanon

Political stability remains elusive, and we see divisions continuing to hamper progress on both a parliamentary and a national level. Indeed, at the time of writing, tensions were... 2006-10-26

BMI View: Based on a core scenario in which Lebanon receives a generous package of aid and loans at the donor conference scheduled for January 2007, we expect the total debt burden... 2006-10-23

The ceasefire agreed on August 11 has held remarkably well, and neither side has shown any particular appetite for a renewed bout of fighting, with Hizbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah... 2006-09-29

We now see full-year export contraction of 2.0% for 2006 - a sharp downward revision of our previous forecast of 19.6% growth - on the back of the July conflict between Israel and... 2006-09-29

BMI View: We envisage a 'muddle-through' scenario for the Lebanese government. While we see the probability of opposition leader Michel Aoun toppling the Siniora administration as... 2006-09-13

We have once again revised downwards our real GDP growth target for 2006, this time to -2.0%. Our initial assessment, made on July that the crisis would cause growth to slip to 1.0%... 2006-09-06

We suggested last month that the July crisis would undermine the government's hold on power, and the re-emergence of opposition figure Michel Aoun, now allied with a strengthened... 2006-09-06

BMI View: We now see full-year export contraction of 2.0% for 2006 - a sharp downward revision on our previous forecast of 19.6% growth - on the back of the July conflict between... 2006-09-01

The crisis in Lebanon puts Saudi Arabia in an awkward position, bringing its foreign policy preferences into conflict with its domestic interests. Saudi Arabia wants Lebanon to remain... 2006-08-07

BMI View: The least damaging outcome of the current Hizbollah-Israel crisis as far as Lebanon is concerned, is a diplomatic solution via the UN. However, even in this best-case scenario,... 2006-07-31