Economy

The disruption in business activity caused by political unrest throughout January poses significant downside risks to our real GDP growth forecast of 4.6% in 2011. While some business... 2011-01-28

We maintain our broadly optimistic outlook on Morocco's growth prospects heading into 2011, with a further expansion in gross fixed capital formation and a recovery in household expenditure... 2011-01-26

Given the government's inward-oriented growth strategies, investment opportunities for foreign investors wishing to top tap into the country's growth story are minimal. The hydrocarbon... 2011-01-21

Libya's stock of foreign currency reserves dipped for the x straight month in June according to latest data from the IMF, with the central bank's financial arsenal falling to US$97.8mn... 2010-11-22

Tunisia's economy will be strongly affected by the weak economic recovery in the eurozone, and we forecast real growth in 2011 at 4.6%. Domestic consumption and investment will help... 2010-11-22

We maintain our 4.0% and 3.0% end-2010 and 2011 inflation forecasts. We expect housing prices to remain the major drag on headline inflation, given ongoing slack in the market, while... 2010-11-22

We see Morocco's fiscal position consolidating and forecast the budget surplus to expand in 2011, coming in at 4.7% of GDP, compared to an estimated 3.5% in 2010. According to the 2011... 2010-11-22

We forecast economic growth in Morocco to slow to 3.6% y-o-y in 2010 from 4.6% in 2009, before recuperating to average 4.0% y-o-y over the 2011-2014 period. Growth in gross fixed capital... 2010-11-04

We forecast Tunisia's economy to grow 3.9% and 5.8% in real terms in 2010 and 2011, respectively. We highlight a 4.5% increase in fixed capital investment, which we forecast to come... 2010-10-22

Consumer price inflation in Libya hit a four-month low in September, coming in at 3.0% y-o-y, compared to 3.9% in August. Food price inflation ticked down to 4.1% y-o-y, compared to... 2010-10-22