Yemen
Political Risk
President Ali Abdullah Saleh finds himself in an extremely difficult position over a key Islamist leader, Sheikh Abdul Majid al-Zindani. The UN Security Council (UNSC) lists al-Zindani...
2005-04-04Economy
Over the forecast period, BMI expects real GDP growth of 3.6% in 2005 and of 3.3% in 2006. This assumes that average OPEC basket prices fall from an estimated average of US$35/b in...
2005-01-14Economy
With central government relatively weak, there is an ongoing risk of clashes between state troops and tribal or sectarian militias. This risk is heightened by the prevalence of small...
2005-01-12Economy
Oil output at the two major fields fell in 2003 and 2004. BMI View: New discoveries may slow the production decline, but are unlikely to reverse it
2005-01-12Economy
Overall, risks to our forecasts are relatively high: growth rates tend to be volatile, and have varied between 2% and 11% over the last ten years. Our forecast of 3.6% growth in 2005...
2004-10-08Economy
We expect 3.6% growth this year, rising to 4.2% in 2005. In this scenario, population growth will continue to outstrip GDP growth, increasing unemployment and reducing per capita...
2004-08-12Political Risk
Government troops have been fighting a militia in the northwest, with hundreds of casualties over weeks of combat. BMI View: Rumours of foreign involvement have not been substantiated,...
2004-08-09Economy
Military forces have been fighting a militia in the mountains of northern Sa'ada province, resulting in hundreds of casualties over several weeks of combat. The Believing Youth armed...
2004-08-09Economy
A number of key militant suspects have come to trial, including 15 charged with plotting to assassinate the US ambassador. According to the authorities, five of these 15 have allegedly...
2004-06-08Economy
BMI View: We expect 3.6% growth this year, rising to 4.2% in 2005. New oil explorations pose an upside risk. In addition, trade relations with China are improving, as the Ministry...
2004-06-08




