Political Risk

BMI View: While we mooted the possibility of a rapprochement between Syria and Israel in our last Business Forecast Report, we fear that the significance of President Bashar al-Assad's... 2006-10-12

Despite continued reforms, we believe that the stand-off between Turkey and the EU will continue. This is a symptom of deteriorating political risk which we believe will continue... 2006-09-27

BMI View: Gamal Mubarak's veiled criticism of the US at the NDP conference suggests that a government led by him could be more populist than the current regime. However, we do not... 2006-09-22

BMI View: Gamal Mubarak's veiled criticism of the US at the NDP conference suggests that a government led by him could be more populist than the current regime. However, we do not... 2006-09-22

BMI View: We envisage a 'muddle-through' scenario for the Lebanese government. While we see the probability of opposition leader Michel Aoun toppling the Siniora administration as... 2006-09-13

BMI View: Any further exacerbation of tensions between the government and Islamist groups (both legal and illegal) could see our political risk ratings slip from 61.0 to as far as... 2006-09-11

As criticism of the government's handling of the Lebanon crisis mounts in Israel's media and parliament, we see a significant risk of early elections. On August 16, Knesset member... 2006-09-01

The Egyptian government, like most other established Arab administrations, has little sympathy with Hizbollah, which it sees both as a destabilising force in the region as a whole... 2006-09-01

It has been a bad year for tourism in Turkey. After stellar growth in 2004 and 2005, tourist numbers have fallen markedly, with revenue in the year to June down by 3.1% to US$4.1bn.... 2006-08-31

As criticism of the government's handling of the Lebanon crisis mounts in Israel's media and parliament, we see a significant risk of early elections. On August 16, Knesset member... 2006-08-17