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Economy / Iraq

Macroeconomic Forecast Iraq

May 2007 | Macroeconomic Forecasts
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We are forecasting real GDP growth of about 12.5% for 2007, based on oil production rising to 2.15mn b/d and oil prices falling only slightly to US$54.5/bbl. An improvement in oil production and exports between the first and second quarters of 2007 should lead to a stronger oil sector performance in FY07, with exports expected to average 1.55mn b/d - an increase of more than 200,000 b/d on the 2006 levels. We anticipate average production of 2.15mn b/d, at least 250,000 b/d more than the year previously.